Mirai Asakura vs Daisuke Hori

Yes. If you turn the previous condition directly into a "7-day continuous deathmatch," the conclusion actually needs some revision.

Mirai Asakura is considerably favored. I see Asakura at over 95%. The reason is simple: in a deathmatch, the premise of "surviving until day 7, when sleep tolerance becomes the deciding factor" itself is hard to establish.

Asakura is an active-level professional MMA fighter and has experienced many professional fights in his public record.

Let's set the rules this time as follows:

At hour 0, both have gotten enough sleep From there, 7 days with no sleeping allowed Eating and hydration are allowed No rest periods Running around or sitting is allowed Victory when the opponent becomes unable to continue fighting MMA-style strikes and grappling are permitted

In this case, I think the passage of time would go like this.

Start to 1 hour: Asakura is overwhelmingly favored.

This is the biggest problem. Even if you evaluate Daisuke Hori's short-sleep ability as favorably as possible, it is almost meaningless right at the start.

Neither of them is sleepy.

In other words, it becomes an ordinary contest of

professional MMA fighter vs a person who is close to an amateur in martial arts.

The experience gap in striking, distance, timing, clinching, takedowns, and positioning is too large.

So before it can develop into "Hori is strong against sleep, so he'll turn it around around day 5," under normal circumstances it would already be decided.

⸻

But here's the interesting part.

If you add a special rule that "Asakura is not allowed to end the fight with a single blow," it moves much closer to Hori being favored.

For example, make it a "combat + sleepless endurance competition" where:

Victory or defeat is not decided until 168 hours have definitely passed Lethal attacks are forbidden Even if you KO the opponent, if they recover, the fight resumes Both may run away or rest If you sleep, you lose

Once it becomes that, it's a different sport.

I think,

0–24 hours: Asakura favored 24–48 hours: still Asakura favored 48–72 hours: the gap shrinks rapidly After 72 hours: if Hori's short-sleep adaptation is real, Hori may become favored

Why? Because Asakura's greatest weapons—

• reaction speed
• timing
• sense of distance
• situational judgment
• explosive movement
• complex skill selection

are all affected by sleep deprivation.

Meanwhile, for Hori, if we assume that the ability to adapt to extremely short sleep that he claims truly exists, then that special ability would kick in ferociously after 72 hours.

To put it extremely, on day 5,

Asakura:

"I'm seeing two of my opponent... what hour is it now..."

Hori:

"I'm a little sleepier than in my usual life"

If a gap like that really arose, it could overturn the physical ability difference.

Therefore, by rule, it comes out like this:

Rule My prediction Normal MMA Asakura >99% MMA after staying awake for 7 days Asakura about 80–90% Fight starts now, ends immediately when unable to fight Asakura over 95% Sleepless endurance battle where no decision is allowed until 168 hours Quite close "Whoever sleeps loses" is the top priority Hori can become favored

So if you want the interesting matchup Sho probably first imagined, the best rule is: "For 7 days, KO decisions are forbidden, sleeping is immediate defeat, and after 168 hours the ones still awake have a final MMA match."

With this, Asakura's martial arts ability vs Hori's short-sleeper ability truly collide head-on. Under this rule, I would quite seriously narrow the win rates to about Asakura 55: Hori 45.